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Rachel Brown-Finnis, BBC Sport's football expert, has shared her predictions for the Euro 2025 semi-finals. After correctly forecasting all quarter-final winners, she has a success rate of 71% in predicting match outcomes in the tournament so far. The semi-finals promise intense competition with England facing Italy and world champions Spain battling Germany.
England's match against Italy is on Tuesday, with the Lionesses aiming to defend their title. England's resilience, seen in their thrilling quarter-final win over Sweden via penalties, highlights their tournament strength. Italy, on the other hand, has shown significant growth and self-belief throughout the tournament, having defeated Norway in the quarters. Despite being one day more rested, Italy may find England's defensive organization challenging, although Brown-Finnis expects a tough battle. She predicts a narrow 2-1 victory for England, noting the importance of a strong start and avoiding errors that might invigorate Italy's attack.
The second semi-final on Wednesday features Germany against Spain. Germany, having outlasted France in a dramatic quarter-final, showcased their ability to overcome adversity, particularly with standout performances from goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger. Their capacity to adapt and maintain performance, even when reduced to 10 players, underscores their resilience. Meanwhile, Spain arrives as the sole team with a perfect record in the tournament, having scored 16 goals. Yet, their vulnerability in transitions could be exploited by Germany, who, despite not dominating possession, remain clinical.
Brown-Finnis predicts a tightly contested clash potentially extending to extra time, ultimately favoring Spain to leverage their special capabilities and win 3-2. Germany's intensity and tactical versatility make them formidable, but Spain's prowess could see them through to the finals.
In summary, Brown-Finnis foresees England and Spain progressing to the Euro 2025 final, with challenges in both matches owing to the contrasting styles and strengths of their opponents. As the semi-finals approach, the anticipation builds for two thrilling encounters.